A Christian Liberal is NOT an oxymoron.

Posted by XT on October 26th, 2008 in Campaign News

John McCain continues the delusional line of saying he’s doing just fine:

“Those polls have consistently shown me much further behind than we actually are. It all depends on the voter turnout … we’re doing fine. We have closed in the last week.” he said.

Well, it does depend on voter turnout.

But understand that the states where McCain is still within the margin of error are North Dakota, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, Georgia, and Florida. Even without those states, the electoral vote falls 317 to 157. If McCain runs the table in all the states where it is remotely possible for him to do so – he would still lose. Badly.

Republican hopes rest on holding onto 41 seats in the Senate. If they can’t do that, then they cannot even slow down the Democratic juggernaut when it legislates. To do that, Republicans have to pick up three of the seven Senate seats that are in play – in Oregon, Minnesota, Kentucky, Mississippi, Georgia, Alaska, and North Carolina. In four of those states, Democrats are ahead. So Republicans must run the table, as it stands now, to hold on.

The advantage is to the GOP in doing so. They just have to manage to win in Georgia, Kentucky, and Mississippi – all of which would be reliable wins in a normal year. But this isn’t a normal year. Consider that the Kentucky race features Mitch McConnel – the minority leader – holding on by only four points in a state where McCain leads by fourteen. Or that Mississippi features Roger Wicker holding onto a single digit lead in a state where McCain leads by ten.

But it is Georgia where Republicans face their most likely defeat – McCain only holds a two-point lead and incumbent Saxby Chambliss leads by four. The state has a large number of newly registered voters, most of which trend Democratic. If the top of the ticket flips the state for Dems, look for the Senate seat to flip as well – and vice versa.

Update: CNN catches up to me:

Sens. Mitch McConnell and Elizabeth Dole are two top Republicans lawmakers who find themselves fighting to hold on to their Senate seats.

They’re also two reasons why Democrats are talking 60 — the number of seats needed to secure filibuster-proof majority in the Senate.

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